Perhaps Obama’s characteristic humility will reverse this trend:
Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama’s big speech on Thursday night will be delivered from an elaborate columned stage resembling a miniature Greek temple.
Hmmm. Maybe not.
Obama has clearly seen a rise in the polls since the convention began with a 4-point increase in his support (from 45% to 49%) with the margin moving eight points in his favor. Obama’s largest advantage at any point in the campaign was a 9-point lead recorded July 24-26, so as his party’s convention concludes, he is about as strongly positioned as he has been at any point this year.
I think this says a lot about the limited reliability of daily tracking polls (especially this far out from an election), but it might also say something about Timmeh’s powers of prognostication.